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  Vol. 159 No. 2, January 25, 1999 TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Clinical and Economic Effects of Population-Based Helicobacter pylori Screening to Prevent Gastric Cancer

A. Mark Fendrick, MD; Michael E. Chernew, PhD; Richard A. Hirth, PhD; Bernard S. Bloom, PhD; Rajesh R. Bandekar, PhD; James M. Scheiman, MD

Arch Intern Med. 1999;159:142-148.

Background  Helicobacter pylori infection has been identified as a risk factor for certain types of gastric cancer. However, the extent to which H pylori eradication decreases the risk of gastric cancer is unknown, raising the question of whether population-based H pylori screening should be undertaken.

Objective  To compare clinical and economic effects of H pylori screening, with and without confirmatory testing, with no screening to prevent gastric cancer.

Design  Decision analysis incorporating a Markov simulation.

Patients  Simulated cohorts of men and women with varying risk of gastric cancer.

Intervention  Three strategies were evaluated: (1) no screening; (2) H pylori serologic testing, treat those positive for H pylori, no follow-up testing; and (3) H pylori serologic testing, treat those positive for H pylori, followed by a test to confirm H pylori eradication, re-treat those who test positive. In the principal analysis, the risk of gastric cancer after H pylori eradication was assumed to be similar to that for those without H pylori infection. Scenarios with less optimistic assumptions regarding risk reduction of cancer were evaluated.

Main Outcome Measures  Gastric cancer rates, discounted cost per life-year saved.

Results  If H pylori eradication reduced the risk of cancer to that of people never infected, both H pylori intervention strategies reduced gastric cancer rates so that each yielded at least 12 additional life-years per 1000 40-year-old white men screened when compared with no screening. Helicobacter pylori serologic testing without posttreatment confirmatory testing resulted in the lowest cost per additional life-year saved ($6264). The cost-effectiveness of the H pylori screening strategies varied substantially as the level of risk reduction of cancer was varied, but remained cost-effective even at moderate rates (<30%) of excess risk reduction of cancer in all cohorts evaluated.

Conclusions  Population-based H pylori screening has the potential to produce important health benefits at a reasonable cost at moderate rates of excess risk reduction of cancer. Controlled studies are necessary to confirm and quantify the impact of H pylori eradication on the risk of gastric cancer.


The authors' affiliations appear in the acknowledgment section at the end of the article.



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