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  Vol. 161 No. 5, March 12, 2001 TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Baseline Oxygen Saturation Predicts Exercise Desaturation Below Prescription Threshold in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Mark T. Knower, MD; Donnie P. Dunagan, MD; Norman E. Adair, MD; Robert Chin, Jr, MD

Arch Intern Med. 2001;161:732-736.

Background  Recent studies of exercise-induced hypoxemia in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have shown that oxygen supplementation during exertion increases exercise tolerance and alleviates dyspnea. Although measurements of forced expiratory volume in 1 second and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) are known to predict exercise-induced desaturation in patients with COPD, baseline oxygen saturation has never been studied as a predictor of exercise-induced desaturation.

Methods  A retrospective analysis was performed of 100 consecutive patients with forced expiratory volume in 1 second–forced vital capacity ratio of 70% or less who underwent exercise testing for desaturation. Any desaturation to 88% or less with exercise was considered significant. Nineteen patients with total lung capacity of 80% or less were excluded to avoid evaluating those with combined obstructive and restrictive defects; 81 patients remained available for study.

Results  Nineteen (51%) of 37 patients with resting saturation of 95% or less desaturated with exercise as opposed to 7 (16%) of 44 with resting saturation of 96% or greater (P = .001). The sensitivity and the negative predictive value of baseline saturation of 95% or less as a screening test for exercise desaturation were 73% and 84%, respectively. If all patients with DLCO of 36% or less were excluded, 40 patients were left for study. Eight (40%) of 20 patients with baseline saturation of 95% or less compared with 0 of 20 with resting saturation of 96% or greater desaturated with exercise (P = .006). In this subset, the sensitivity and the negative predictive value of baseline saturation of 95% or less as a screening test for exercise desaturation both improved to 100%.

Conclusions  In patients with COPD, baseline saturation of 95% or less is a good screening test for exercise desaturation, especially in patients with DLCO greater than 36%. This readily available office screening procedure merits further study in larger prospective patient cohorts.


From the Section on Pulmonary and Critical Care, Department of Internal Medicine, Wake Forest University Baptist Medical Center, Winston-Salem, NC.



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