You are seeing this message because your Web browser does not support basic Web standards. Find out more about why this message is appearing and what you can do to make your experience on this site better.


ABOUT ARCHIVES
Advanced Search

Welcome   | My Account | E-mail Alerts | Access Rights | Sign In


  Vol. 159 No. 1, January 11, 1999 TABLE OF CONTENTS
  Archives
  •  Online Features
  Original Investigation
 This Article
 •Abstract
 •PDF
 •Send to a friend
 • Save in My Folder
 •Save to citation manager
 •Permissions
 Citing Articles
 •Citation map
 •Citing articles on HighWire
 •Citing articles on Web of Science (166)
 •Contact me when this article is cited
 Related Content
 •Related article
 •Similar articles in this journal
 Topic Collections
 •Cardiovascular System
 •Prognosis/ Outcomes
 •Congestive Heart Failure/ Cardiomyopathy
 •Alert me on articles by topic
 Social Bookmarking
  Add to CiteULike Add to Connotea Add to Del.icio.us Add to Digg Add to Reddit Add to Technorati Add to Twitter What's this?

Congestive Heart Failure in the Community

Trends in Incidence and Survival in a 10-Year Period

Michele Senni, MD; Christophe M. Tribouilloy, MD, PhD; Richard J. Rodeheffer, MD; Steven J. Jacobsen, MD, PhD; Jonathan M. Evans, MD; Kent R. Bailey, PhD; Margaret M. Redfield, MD

Arch Intern Med. 1999;159:29-34.

ABSTRACT

Objective  To compare the incidence of congestive heart failure and the survival in patients with congestive heart failure in Rochester, Minn, in 1981 with that observed in 1991.

Methods  Population-based, descriptive epidemiological study with ecological and individual level comparisons over time. Olmsted County, Minnesota, where the Rochester Epidemiology Project provides passive surveillance of the population for health outcomes. All 248 patients fulfilled the Framingham criteria, 107 patients presenting with the new onset of congestive heart failure in 1981 and 141 patients in 1991. The community inpatient and outpatient medical records of all incident cases were reviewed to evaluate the presenting characteristics of patients at diagnosis.

Results  The incidence of congestive heart failure after adjustment for age and sex to the US population was not significantly different in the 1991 cohort compared with that in 1981 (3.0 per 1000 person-years; 95% confidence interval, 2.5-3.5 vs 2.8 per 1000 person-years; 95% confidence interval, 2.2-3.3; P=.55). The survival of patients with new diagnosis of congestive heart failure was similar in the 2 cohorts (P = .53). Survival adjusted for age, sex, and New York Heart Association functional class was not significantly different in patients with congestive heart failure in 1981 and 1991 (relative risk, 0.907; P = .55).

Conclusions  These data suggest that recent advances in management of cardiovascular disease, as used in the community, had not yet impacted incidence or survival of patients with congestive heart failure in the community during the 10-year study period. This highlights the need to continue efforts to ensure that advances in diagnosis and therapy are incorporated into the care of patients with congestive heart failure in the community.



INTRODUCTION
 Jump to Section
 •Top
 •Introduction
 •Methods
 •Results
 •Comment
 •Author information
 •References

IT HAS been estimated that congestive heart failure (CHF) in the United States affects approximately 2.3 million individuals, with 400,000 new cases per year,1 and causes 274,000 deaths per year.2 Although data concerning CHF in the community are essential to evaluate the risk of CHF developing and the impact of care given to patients with CHF in a nonreferral setting, few population-based data are available regarding the incidence and the prognosis of CHF.3-7

The trend in incidence and survival of patients with CHF over time and the effects this may have on the prevalence of this disease are controversial. It has been postulated that the decrease of case-fatality rates from cardiovascular disease may lead to a higher incidence of CHF, especially in the elderly.2 Conversely, some authors8-10 hypothesize that by limiting myocardial infarction size with thrombolysis or revascularization (or both) and with the widespread use of antihypertensive therapy, a reduction in the incidence of CHF should be noted. However, the incidence has declined only modestly over 3 decades, as reported in the Framingham Study,11 although this study predated the widespread use of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors12-15 or thrombolysis. If incidence remains stable or increases, the prevalence of CHF may increase dramatically as the population ages.16

Because relatively limited data are available regarding secular trends in the occurrence and outcome of CHF in the community, this study was designed to compare the incidence of CHF and the survival in patients with CHF in the community of Rochester, Minn, in 1981 to that observed in 1991. Only cases of definite CHF that satisfied the Framingham criteria were included in this study. We hypothesized that changes in the treatment of coronary artery disease and hypertension and the use of vasodilator therapy for CHF introduced during this time may have decreased the incidence of and mortality from this syndrome in the community.


METHODS
 Jump to Section
 •Top
 •Introduction
 •Methods
 •Results
 •Comment
 •Author information
 •References

The population of Rochester was well suited for this study of CHF because comprehensive, linked-unit medical records are available for the residents and are accessible through a centralized index of diagnoses.17 The central file of medical records compiled by the Rochester Epidemiology Project includes essentially all sources of medical care available to and used by the local population. These include the Mayo Clinic and the Mayo Medical Center Hospitals, the Olmsted Medical Center, the Olmsted Community Hospital, the University of Minnesota Hospitals, and the Veterans Affairs Hospitals in Minneapolis. Data from several small community hospitals in surrounding counties, from the one solo family practitioner in Rochester, and from local nursing homes are also indexed and added to the central data bank at the Mayo Clinic. Consequently, detailed information about the medical care provided to all residents of the community is available for study. This system ensures nearly complete case ascertainment for almost all major illnesses diagnosed among residents of Rochester. This index includes diagnoses made among outpatients seen in clinic and office consultations, emergency department visits, house calls, or nursing home care and diagnoses recorded among hospital inpatients and at death. The potential of this data system for population-based studies has been described previously.18-19

CHF INCIDENCE COHORT

The Rochester Epidemiology Project has identified 2 cohorts of residents of Rochester who were newly diagnosed as having CHF between January 1 and December 31 in 198117 and in 1991. The 1981 cohort included the cohort of Rodeheffer et al17 (same criteria for selection and clinical assessment were used) but was extended to include subjects older than 75 years. This process identified all individuals with an initial diagnosis of CHF regardless of the setting in which a diagnosis was made. These cohorts included all individuals who were residents of Rochester at diagnosis of CHF and examined at the Mayo Clinic or any of the institutions with which the Rochester Epidemiology Project has linked medical records. At least 1 year of residence in Rochester before the diagnosis of CHF was required to be considered a resident of Rochester. This criterion is applied to minimize the potential for selection bias resulting from migration into Rochester because of illness.

The diagnosis of CHF was confirmed through a systematic review of the medical record. Only patients with definite CHF who fulfilled the Framingham criteria were included. Physicians' notes were examined for mention of major and minor criteria for CHF, according to Framingham criteria,3 with minor modification. The major criteria were paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnea, orthopnea, abnormal jugular venous distention, rales, cardiomegaly, pulmonary edema, presence of a third heart sound, and central venous pressure of more than 16 cm H2O. The minor criteria included edema, night cough, dyspnea on exertion, hepatomegaly, pleural effusion, tachycardia (>120 beats/min), and weight loss of 4.5 kg or more in 5 days (this finding was considered a major criterion if it occurred during therapeutic interventions for CHF). Individuals were assigned a diagnosis of CHF if 2 major criteria were present or, alternatively, if 1 major and 2 minor criteria were present concurrently. Clinical details at the time of diagnosis were obtained from the medical record. On the basis of the recorded history, patients were assigned to a New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class. If the recorded history was not complete enough to allow such assignment, none was made. A random sample of 30 charts was reviewed in a blinded fashion by 2 independent observers (M.S. and C.M.T.) to test the reproducibility of criteria used for the diagnosis of CHF. The 2 observers had 100% agreement for the presence or absence of definite CHF.

Follow-up for analysis of survival was obtained through the comprehensive medical records and through the Survey Research Center at Mayo. For deceased patients, only the date of death was recorded; no effort was made to determine the cause of death. The presence of comorbid conditions was determined through review of the community medical records. Coronary artery disease was defined as the presence of a clinical diagnosis in the chart, or a positive result of a stress test, or coronary angiography with at least 1 vessel having a stenosis of more than 50%, or a clinical or an electrocardiographic diagnosis of myocardial infarction in the chart. A patient was considered to have hypertension if there was a clinical diagnosis in the chart, normal arterial blood pressure with ongoing antihypertensive therapy, or hypertension at diagnosis on 2 successive determinations with a systolic arterial blood pressure greater than 160 mm Hg or a diastolic arterial blood pressure greater than 90 mm Hg. The diagnosis of severe valve disease was based on angiographic or echocardiographic data. The criteria for idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy were global left ventricular dilatation and impaired systolic function in the absence of a known cardiac or systemic cause.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Continuous variables are expressed as mean ± SD. Group comparisons were based on Student t test or {chi}2 test, as appropriate. Survival function estimates were derived by using the method described by Kaplan and Meier, and differences were tested with the log-rank test. Multivariate regression analysis was performed with the stepwise Cox proportional hazards model to identify independent predictors of survival. The candidate independent variables were age, sex, functional NYHA class, history of hypertension, history of coronary artery disease, history of valvular heart disease, history of dilated cardiomyopathy, history of smoking, history of diabetes, creatinine value, ACE-inhibitor treatment, and year of diagnosis (1981 vs 1991). The entry criterion in the multivariate analysis was P<.15, and P<.05 was considered significant.

Incidence rates were calculated as the observed number of cases divided by the age- and sex-specific person-years of observation. Estimates of the Rochester population at risk were derived from decennial census data for 1980 and 1990.20 Rates were directly age and sex adjusted to the population of US whites in 1980. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals were constructed about the point estimates of incidence assuming a Poisson distribution.


RESULTS
 Jump to Section
 •Top
 •Introduction
 •Methods
 •Results
 •Comment
 •Author information
 •References

In Rochester 248 patients fulfilled the study criteria: 107 patients presented with the new onset of CHF in 1981 and 141 patients in 1991. The median follow-up for these patients was 1061 days (25th percentile, 303; 75th percentile, 2355) and 1233 days (25th percentile, 409; 75th percentile, 1804) for the 1981 and 1991 cohorts, respectively. Follow-up was available on all patients. Clinical characteristics of new cases of CHF in the 2 cohorts are summarized in Table 1. Patients in the 1991 cohort were less symptomatic at diagnosis and fewer had a history of smoking compared with patients in the 1981 cohort. In 7 patients of the 1991 cohort and 5 of the 1981 cohort, the functional class was indeterminate. Coronary artery disease, hypertension, valvular disease, and cardiomyopathy were present in comparable percentages in the 1981 and 1991 cohorts. The age distribution of patients with CHF in 1981 and 1991 is shown in Figure 1. In both cohorts there was a dramatic increase in the number of patients with CHF at older ages. However, 82% of patients of the 1991 cohort were 70 years or older compared with 71% of the 1981 cohort (P = .06). Therapy with ACE inhibitors was present after the initial diagnosis of CHF in 41% of patients in the 1991 cohort and in 0% of patients in the 1981 cohort.


View this table:
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Table 1. Clinical Characteristics of Patients With First Diagnosis of Congestive Heart Failure in 1981 and 1991*




View larger version (12K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Figure 1. Age distribution of patients with congestive heart failure in 1981 and 1991 cohorts in Rochester, Minn.


INCIDENT CASES WITH CHF

The incidence rates of the 2 cohorts are reported in Table 2. The total incidence rate of CHF, after adjustment for age and sex, did not differ in the 1991 cohort compared with the 1981 cohort. In both cohorts, men had a higher age-adjusted incidence rate of CHF compared with women. The incidence rates by age of the 2 cohorts are shown in Figure 2. There was an exponential increase in incidence rate with advancing age in both cohorts. Two infants (<1 year old) with CHF were not included in the assessment of incidence rate or prognosis of the 1981 cohort. The incidence rates by sex and age are shown in Figure 3. Among men, the incidence rate increased dramatically in both cohorts, starting at the seventh decade of life. In women this increase was delayed until the eighth decade of life.


View this table:
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Table 2. Incidence Rates of Congestive Heart Failure Adjusted to the US Population




View larger version (10K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Figure 2. Incidence rates by age of patients with congestive heart failure in 1981 and 1991 cohorts in Rochester, Minn.




View larger version (13K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Figure 3. Incidence rates by sex (left, female; right, male) and age of patients with congestive heart failure in 1981 and 1991 cohorts in Rochester, Minn.


PROGNOSIS

The survival of patients with a new diagnosis of CHF was poor in both cohorts. Only 79% and 85% remained alive 6 months after diagnosis, 72% and 77% at 1 year, and 34% and 33% at 5 years in the 1981 and 1991 cohorts, respectively. Overall survival was similar in the 2 cohorts (P = .53) (Figure 4). Survival adjusted for age, sex, and NYHA functional class was not significantly different in patients with CHF in 1981 and in 1991 (relative risk, 0.907; P = .55). Survival among women and men was similar in both cohorts (men, P = .23; women, P = .78; Figure 5). In the multivariate analysis, independent predictors of mortality were as listed in Table 3. Age and creatinine concentration greater than 115 µmol/L were negative predictors of long-term survival. Hypertension tended to be an independent positive predictor of survival. Sex, NYHA functional class, presence of coronary artery disease, valvular disease, idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy or diabetes, history of smoking, and use of ACE inhibitors were not found to be independent predictors of mortality.



View larger version (14K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Figure 4. Overall survival of patients with congestive heart failure in 1981 and 1991 cohorts in Rochester, Minn.




View larger version (16K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Figure 5. Survival among female (left) and male (right) subjects with congestive heart failure in 1981 and 1991 cohorts in Rochester, Minn.



View this table:
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Table 3. Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis for Predictors of Survival*



COMMENT
 Jump to Section
 •Top
 •Introduction
 •Methods
 •Results
 •Comment
 •Author information
 •References

In this study, we report on the incidence and prognosis of patients with definite CHF in the community over time. These data indicate that the incidence of CHF was unchanged over a 10-year period in this well-defined community population. Furthermore, survival of patients with a new diagnosis of CHF in the same community was not significantly different over time. This stability in the incidence and prognosis of CHF occurred despite advances in the diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular disease and CHF thought to have the potential for an impact on the epidemiology of this disease.

INCIDENCE OF CHF IN THE COMMUNITY

Data from death certificates have indicated an increase in CHF in the US population in the last decades.2 Moreover, the number of hospital discharges for CHF has increased from 1976 to 1986 in the United States,21 and rates of initial hospitalizations for CHF were higher in 1993 than in 1986 among older men and women.8 However, these data may be affected by some limitations such as changes in criteria for the diagnosis of CHF,21 a lower threshold for classifying elderly patients as having CHF,2 and the difficulty in determining whether CHF was a contributing cause or the primary cause of death.9, 22 In this study, which used the same diagnostic criteria for CHF in 2 different periods, the incidence of CHF in the community did not change over time. Numerous explanations for this finding may be postulated. Patients with CHF in the 1991 cohort tended to be older, which probably reflects the aging population. Decreased acute myocardial infarction case-fatality rates and improved survival among subjects with angina pectoris may have led to an increase in the number of patients with left ventricular dysfunction at risk for CHF in the community, especially in those aged 65 years or older.23-24 Treated patients with hypertension who escape death from cerebrovascular events may still suffer progressive myocardial damage and remain at risk for CHF.2, 24 Conversely, some authors10 have suggested that incidence should decline with primary and secondary prevention of coronary events, treatment of hypertension,25 and myocardial salvage during aggressive treatment of myocardial infarction.9-10,26-27 Early therapeutic intervention with ACE inhibitors can delay or prevent the onset of CHF with left ventricular dysfunction, but these studies had not been published in 1991 and thus were unlikely to have affected care of patients with ventricular dysfunction in the community.15, 28

The absence of a change in incidence in the 10-year period is probably related to the cumulative effects of these factors, which may balance each other so as to lead to a stable incidence over this 10-year period. Alternatively, the lack of a change in incidence may reflect the lag time between the development of new therapies, their use in the community, and their impact on the natural history of this syndrome.10 Our results suggest also that patients in the recent period are being identified earlier because patients of the 1991 cohort were less symptomatic compared with those of the 1981 cohort. This finding may be related to an increased awareness by physicians of the symptoms and signs of CHF. Surprisingly, this does not appear to be related to improved survival, as would be expected owing to lead-time bias.29

SURVIVAL IN PATIENTS WITH CHF IN THE COMMUNITY

Although the mortality rate for coronary artery disease has dramatically decreased during recent decades,26-27 our results indicate that survival of patients with CHF after adjustment for age, sex, and NYHA class remained stable during the 1980s. The Framingham Study reported that survival was not different after the onset of CHF during 40 years of follow-up.4 In a previous study30 on idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy in a referral population, we found that survival in the symptomatic patients (NYHA class III-IV) did not differ between patients diagnosed in 1982-1987 and patients diagnosed in 1976-1981, but we reported an improved survival rate in less symptomatic patients (NYHA class I-II), suggesting that improvements in the diagnosis and therapy had affected the natural history of this form of cardiac disease, often associated with CHF.

Both the Framingham Study and the study on idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy had a low percentage of patients treated with an ACE inhibitor because this drug has been commercially available only since 1983. However, in our study, despite the use of ACE inhibitors in more than 40% of patients in the 1991 cohort period, we did not observe changes in survival rates. Again, different mechanisms for this observation can be postulated. A 15% to 20% reduction in mortality has been reported with the use of ACE inhibitors, but when this improvement is averaged for the entire population treated, it results in a mean increase in survival of less than 6 months.10 Moreover, limited data are available on the impact of ACE inhibitors on survival in elderly patients (>75 years), who represent 69% of our cohort with CHF, although the CONSENSUS I (Cooperative North Scandinavian Enalapril Survival Study) trial in NYHA class IV patients included elderly patients and demonstrated an improvement in short-term survival with drug therapy.13 The lack of an impact of ACE-inhibitor therapy on survival in this study may be related to the low percentage of patients treated as well as to inadequate dosing and duration of therapy, neither of which was addressed in this study.

Although an extensive comorbidity assessment was not performed in our study, there were no differences in the prevalence of diabetes or renal dysfunction in 2 cohorts, and fewer patients in the 1991 cohort smoked. Nonetheless, the possibility that factors other than CHF influenced mortality primarily in both cohorts cannot be excluded.

LIMITATIONS

Our study was a retrospective cohort analysis and has the inherent limitations of this design. The incidence rate of CHF may have been underestimated as a result of the insensitivity of the Framingham criteria for the detection of early manifestations of CHF, especially in elderly subjects.31 Some patients may not have fulfilled study criteria for CHF because the physician may not have recorded specific symptoms or signs of CHF since they were considered synonymous with CHF. The incidence of CHF as defined in the study may have been affected by changes in documentation practices between the study periods. Such changes could affect the number of patients with suspected CHF who would meet the study criteria. Patients were identified from medical records; therefore, they had to have sufficient symptoms to seek medical care. However, although the incidence rates may have been underestimated, these factors should have affected incidence similarly in 1981 and 1991, because we compared 2 cohorts in the same community, with the same case ascertainment methods and the same diagnostic criteria.

This study was also limited by the small size of the Rochester population. In 1981, fewer than 8000 Rochester residents were older than 55 years and were at risk for development of CHF. This limitation is reflected in the wide confidence intervals about the point estimates of incidence and prevalence.

Finally, this study may be limited in its generalizability. The population of Rochester is predominantly white; no blacks or Asians were identified among the patients with CHF. In addition, the socioeconomic profile of the city of Rochester is primarily middle to upper-middle class. Nevertheless, this population has been used to assess incidence and prevalence of several diseases.18-19,32

The care of patients with CHF uses a large portion of this country's health care resources.33 The well-recognized shift in the age distribution of our population and the higher incidence of CHF in the elderly engender alarm concerning the economic burden of this syndrome.24 Even a stable incidence of CHF translates into increasing prevalence as the population ages. The lack of any evidence suggesting that recent advances in management of cardiovascular disease have as yet impacted on incidence or survival of patients with definite CHF is disappointing. As every adequately powered study that has examined the effect of ACE inhibition in patients with symptomatic heart failure has demonstrated a beneficial effect on survival, the current data suggest that more aggressive use of these agents must be implemented in the community to realize the beneficial effects of these agents on survival of patients with CHF in the community. Further close observation is needed to ensure that advances in diagnosis and therapy of cardiovascular disease have a favorable impact on CHF in the community.


AUTHOR INFORMATION
 Jump to Section
 •Top
 •Introduction
 •Methods
 •Results
 •Comment
 •Author information
 •References

Accepted for publication July 14, 1998.

This study was funded in part by grants from the Mayo Foundation, Rochester, Minn; the Joseph P. and Jeanne Sullivan Foundation, Chicago, Ill; the Miami Heart Research Institute, Miami, Fla; the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (1R01 HL55502-01A1); and the US Public Health Service, National Institutes of Health (AR 30582), Bethesda, Md. Dr Tribouilloy was supported by a grant from the Federation Française de Cardiologie, Paris, France.

Reprints: Margaret M. Redfield, MD, Mayo Clinic, 200 First St SW, Rochester, MN 55905.

From the Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine (Drs Senni, Tribouilloy, Rodeheffer, and Redfield), the Department of Health Sciences Research (Drs Jacobsen and Bailey), and the Division of Community Internal Medicine (Dr Evans), Mayo Clinic and Mayo Foundation, Rochester, Minn.


REFERENCES
 Jump to Section
 •Top
 •Introduction
 •Methods
 •Results
 •Comment
 •Author information
 •References

1. Smith WM. Epidemiology of congestive heart failure. Am J Cardiol. 1985;55:3A-8A. PUBMED
2. Yusuf S, Thom T, Abbott RD. Changes in hypertension treatment and in congestive heart failure mortality in the United States. Hypertension. 1989;13 (suppl 5):I74-I79.
3. McKee PA, Castelli WP, McNamara PM, Kannel WB. The natural history of congestive heart failure: the Framingham Study. N Engl J Med. 1971;285:1441-1446.
4. Ho KK, Anderson KM, Kannel WB, Grossman W, Levy D. Survival after the onset of congestive heart failure in Framingham Heart Study subjects. Circulation. 1993;88:107-115. FREE FULL TEXT
5. Eriksson H, Svardsudd K, Larsson B, et al. Risk factors for heart failure in the general population: the study of men born in 1913. Eur Heart J. 1989;10:647-656. FREE FULL TEXT
6. Remes J, Reunanen A, Aromaa A, Pyorala K. Incidence of heart failure in eastern Finland: a population-based surveillance study. Eur Heart J. 1992;13:588-593. FREE FULL TEXT
7. Parameshwar J, Shackell MM, Richardson A, Poole-Wilson PA, Sutton GC. Prevalence of heart failure in three general practices in north west London. Br J Gen Pract. 1992;42:287-289. ISI | PUBMED
8. Croft JB, Giles WH, Pollard RA, Casper ML, Anda RF, Livengood JR. National trends in the initial hospitalization for heart failure. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1997;45:270-275. ISI | PUBMED
9. Brophy JM. Epidemiology of congestive heart failure: Canadian data from 1970 to 1989. Can J Cardiol. 1992;8:495-498. ISI | PUBMED
10. Yamani M, Massie BM. Congestive heart failure: insights from epidemiology, implications for treatment. Mayo Clin Proc. 1993;68:1214-1218. ISI | PUBMED
11. Kannel WB. Epidemiological aspects of heart failure. Cardiol Clin. 1989;7:1-9. PUBMED
12. Cohn JN, Archibald DG, Ziesche S, et al. Effect of vasodilator therapy on mortality in chronic congestive heart failure: results of a Veterans Administration Cooperative Study. N Engl J Med. 1986;314:1547-1552. ABSTRACT
13. The CONSENSUS Trial Study Group. Effects of enalapril on mortality in severe congestive heart failure: results of the Cooperative North Scandinavian Enalapril Survival Study (CONSENSUS). N Engl J Med. 1987;316:1429-1435. ABSTRACT
14. The SOLVD Investigators. Effect of enalapril on survival in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fractions and congestive heart failure. N Engl J Med. 1991;325:293-302. ABSTRACT
15. Pfeffer MA, Braunwald E, Moye LA, et al. Effect of captopril on mortality and morbidity in patients with left ventricular dysfunction after myocardial infarction: results of the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement trial: The SAVE Investigators. N Engl J Med. 1992;327:669-677. ABSTRACT
16. Bonneux L, Barendregt JJ, Meeter K, Bonsel GJ, van der Maas PJ. Estimating clinical morbidity due to ischemic heart disease and congestive heart failure: the future rise of heart failure. Am J Public Health. 1994;84:20-28. FREE FULL TEXT
17. Rodeheffer RJ, Jacobsen SJ, Gersh BJ, et al. The incidence and prevalence of congestive heart failure in Rochester, Minnesota. Mayo Clin Proc. 1993;68:1143-1150. ISI | PUBMED
18. Kurland LT, Elveback LR, Nobrega FT. Population studies in Rochester and Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1900-1968. In: Kessler II, Levin ML, eds. The Community as an Epidemiologic Laboratory: A Casebook of Community Studies. Baltimore, Md: Johns Hopkins Press; 1970:47-70.
19. Kurland LT, Molgaard CA. The patient record in epidemiology. Sci Am. 1981;245:54-63. ISI | PUBMED
20. Bergstralh EJ, Offord K, Chu CP, Beard CM, O'Fallon WM, Melton LJ. Calculating Incidence: Prevalence and Mortality Rates for Olmsted County, Minnesota: An Update. Rochester, Minn: Mayo Clinic; 1992. Technical Report Series 49.
21. Hlatky MA, Fleg JL, Hinton PC, et al. Physician practice in the management of congestive heart failure. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1986;8:966-970. ISI | PUBMED
22. Gillum RF. Heart failure in the United States 1970-1985. Am Heart J. 1987;113:1043-1045. FULL TEXT | ISI | PUBMED
23. Gillum RF, Folsom AR, Blackburn H. Decline in coronary heart disease mortality: old questions and new facts. Am J Med. 1984;76:1055-1065. FULL TEXT | ISI | PUBMED
24. Braunwald E. Cardiovascular medicine at the turn of the millennium: triumphs, concerns, and opportunities. N Engl J Med. 1997;337:1360-1369. FREE FULL TEXT
25. Kostis JB, Davis BR, Cutler J, et al. Prevention of heart failure by antihypertensive drug treatment in older persons with isolated systolic hypertension: SHEP Cooperative Research Group. JAMA. 1997;278:212-216. FREE FULL TEXT
26. Stern MP. The recent decline in ischemic heart disease mortality. Ann Intern Med. 1979;91:630-640.
27. Goldman L, Cook EF. The decline in ischemic heart disease mortality rates: an analysis of the comparative effects of medical interventions and changes in lifestyle. Ann Intern Med. 1984;101:825-836.
28. The SOLVD Investigators. Effect of enalapril on mortality and the development of heart failure in asymptomatic patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fractions. N Engl J Med. 1992;327:685-691. ABSTRACT
29. Morrison AS. The effects of early treatment, lead time and length bias on the mortality experienced by cases detected by screening. Int J Epidemiol. 1982;11:261-267. FREE FULL TEXT
30. Redfield MM, Gersh BJ, Bailey KR, Ballard DJ, Rodeheffer RJ. Natural history of idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy: effect of referral bias and secular trend. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1993;22:1921-1926. ABSTRACT
31. Marantz PR, Alderman MH, Tobin JN. Diagnostic heterogeneity in clinical trials for congestive heart failure. Ann Intern Med. 1988;109:55-61.
32. Melton III LJ. History of the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Mayo Clin Proc. 1996;71:266-274. ABSTRACT
33. O'Connell JB, Bristow MR. Economic impact of heart failure in the United States: time for a different approach. J Heart Lung Transplant. 1994;13:S107-S112.


Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us   Add to Digg Digg   Add to Reddit Reddit   Add to Technorati Technorati   Add to Twitter Twitter     What's this?

RELATED ARTICLE

Assessing the Population Burden From Heart Failure: Need for Sentinel Population–Based Surveillance Systems
Robert J. Goldberg and Marvin A. Konstam
Arch Intern Med. 1999;159(1):15-17.
EXTRACT | FULL TEXT  


THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN CITED BY OTHER ARTICLES

Improving survival in the 6 months after diagnosis of heart failure in the past decade: population-based data from the UK
Mehta et al.
Heart 2009;95:1851-1856.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Hip fractures and heart failure: findings from the Cardiovascular Health Study
Carbone et al.
Eur Heart J 2009;0:ehp483v1-ehp483.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Development of Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction With Preservation of Ejection Fraction During Progression of Infant Right Ventricular Hypertrophy
Kitahori et al.
Circ Heart Fail 2009;2:599-607.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Relation Between Modifiable Lifestyle Factors and Lifetime Risk of Heart Failure
Djousse et al.
JAMA 2009;302:394-400.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Long-term prognosis of medically treated patients with functional mitral regurgitation and left ventricular dysfunction
Agricola et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2009;11:581-587.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Sleep-disordered breathing in heart failure with normal left ventricular ejection fraction
Bitter et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2009;11:602-608.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Understanding the 'epidemic of heart failure': a systematic review of trends in determinants of heart failure
Najafi et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2009;11:472-479.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Palliative care in heart failure: a position statement from the palliative care workshop of the Heart Failure Association of the European Society of Cardiology
Jaarsma et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2009;11:433-443.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure 2008: The Task Force for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Acute and Chronic Heart Failure 2008 of the European Society of Cardiology. Developed in collaboration with the Heart Failure Association of the ESC (HFA) and endorsed by the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM)
Authors/Task Force Members et al.
Eur Heart J 2008;29:2388-2442.
FULL TEXT  

ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure 2008: The Task Force for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Acute and Chronic Heart Failure 2008 of the European Society of Cardiology. Developed in collaboration with the Heart Failure Association of the ESC (HFA) and endorsed by the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM)
Dickstein et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2008;10:933-989.
FULL TEXT  

Death in Heart Failure: A Community Perspective
Henkel et al.
Circ Heart Fail 2008;1:91-97.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Asymmetric Dimethylarginine Enhances Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure
Duckelmann et al.
Arterioscler. Thromb. Vasc. Bio. 2007;27:2037-2042.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

REPRINT Treatment of Hypertension in the Prevention and Management of Ischemic Heart Disease: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association Council for High Blood Pressure Research and the Councils on Clinical Cardiology and Epidemiology and Prevention
Rosendorff et al.
Hypertension 2007;50:e28-e55.
FULL TEXT  

Treatment of Hypertension in the Prevention and Management of Ischemic Heart Disease: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association Council for High Blood Pressure Research and the Councils on Clinical Cardiology and Epidemiology and Prevention
Rosendorff et al.
Circulation 2007;115:2761-2788.
FULL TEXT  

Long-term Survival After Heart Failure: A Contemporary Population-Based Perspective
Goldberg et al.
Arch Intern Med 2007;167:490-496.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Plasma pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in the general population: screening for left ventricular hypertrophy and systolic dysfunction
Goetze et al.
Eur Heart J 2006;27:3004-3010.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

A history of arterial hypertension does not affect mortality in patients hospitalised with congestive heart failure
Gustafsson et al.
Heart 2006;92:1430-1433.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Use of Ejection Fraction Tests and Coronary Angiography in Patients With Heart Failure
Kurtz et al.
Mayo Clin Proc. 2006;81:906-913.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Gender and heart failure: a population perspective
Mehta and Cowie
Heart 2006;92:iii14-iii18.
FULL TEXT  

Changing Incidence and Survival for Heart Failure in a Well-Defined Older Population, 1970-1974 and 1990-1994
Barker et al.
Circulation 2006;113:799-805.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Surgical ventricular reverse remodeling in severe ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy: The relevance of the left ventricular equator as a prognostic factor
Ferrazzi et al.
J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg. 2006;131:357-363.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Epidemiology of heart failure in a community-based study of subjects aged >=57 years: Incidence and long-term survival
van Jaarsveld et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2006;8:23-30.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Short- and long-term results of a programme for the prevention of readmissions and mortality in patients with heart failure: Are effects maintained after stopping the programme?
Ojeda et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2005;7:921-926.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Simple Clinical Criteria to Determine the Prognosis of Heart Failure
Heywood et al.
J CARDIOVASC PHARMACOL THER 2005;10:173-180.
ABSTRACT  

Effect of kidney transplantation on left ventricular systolic dysfunction and congestive heart failure in patients with end-stage renal disease
Wali et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2005;45:1051-1060.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Complexity of program and clinical outcomes of heart failure disease management incorporating specialist nurse-led heart failure clinics. A meta-regression analysis
Phillips et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2005;7:333-341.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Integrating Palliative Care Into Heart Failure Care
Hauptman and Havranek
Arch Intern Med 2005;165:374-378.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Contribution of ischemic mitral regurgitation to congestive heart failure after myocardial infarction
Grigioni et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2005;45:260-267.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Effect of age on short and long-term mortality in patients admitted to hospital with congestive heart failure
Gustafsson et al.
Eur Heart J 2004;25:1711-1717.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Survival Associated with Two Sets of Diagnostic Criteria for Congestive Heart Failure
Schellenbaum et al.
Am J Epidemiol 2004;160:628-635.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Aetiology, comorbidity and drug therapy of chronic heart failure in the real world: the EPICA substudy
Ceia et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2004;6:801-806.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

National survey of the prevalence, incidence, primary care burden, and treatment of heart failure in Scotland
Murphy et al.
Heart 2004;90:1129-1136.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Preoperative Evaluation for Major Noncardiac Surgery: Focusing on Heart Failure
Hernandez et al.
Arch Intern Med 2004;164:1729-1736.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Multidisciplinary strategies for the management of heart failure patients at high risk for admission: A systematic review of randomized trials
McAlister et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2004;44:810-819.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

The prognosis of impaired left ventricular systolic function and heart failure in a middle-aged and elderly population in an urban population segment of Copenhagen
Raymond et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2004;6:653-661.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Trends in Heart Failure Incidence and Survival in a Community-Based Population
Roger et al.
JAMA 2004;292:344-350.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Impact of atrial fibrillation on mortality and readmission in older adults hospitalized with heart failure
Ahmed et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2004;6:421-426.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Comparison of treatment initiation with bisoprolol vs. enalapril in chronic heart failure patients: rationale and design of CIBIS-III
Willenheimer et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2004;6:493-500.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Cost-effectiveness of screening with B-type natriuretic peptide to identify patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction
Heidenreich et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2004;43:1019-1026.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Heart Failure Prevalence, Incidence, and Mortality in the Elderly With Diabetes
Bertoni et al.
Diabetes Care 2004;27:699-703.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Pharmacological treatment in patients with heart failure: patients knowledge and occurrence of polypharmacy, alternative medicine and immunizations
Martinez-Selles et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2004;6:219-226.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Decreasing one-year mortality and hospitalization rates for heart failure in Sweden: Data from the Swedish Hospital Discharge Registry 1988 to 2000
Schaufelberger et al.
Eur Heart J 2004;25:300-307.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

One-year follow-up of heart failure patients after their first admission
Formiga et al.
QJM 2004;97:81-86.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Epidemiology and clinical aspects of congestive heart failure
Murray-Thomas and Cowie
Journal of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System 2003;4:131-136.
ABSTRACT  

Prognosis for patients newly admitted to hospital with heart failure: survival trends in 12 220 index admissions in Leicestershire 1993-2001
Blackledge et al.
Heart 2003;89:615-620.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Differences between general practitioners and cardiologists in diagnosis and management of heart failure: a survey in every-day practice
Rutten et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2003;5:337-344.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Diagnosis and management of heart failure: a questionnaire among general practitioners and cardiologists
Rutten et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2003;5:345-348.
FULL TEXT  

Treatment of chronic heart failure with {beta} adrenergic blockade beyond controlled clinical trials: the BRING-UP experience
Maggioni et al.
Heart 2003;89:299-305.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Combined Ventricular Systolic and Arterial Stiffening in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: Implications for Systolic and Diastolic Reserve Limitations
Kawaguchi et al.
Circulation 2003;107:714-720.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Prevalence of Depression in Hospitalized Patients With Congestive Heart Failure
Freedland et al.
Psychosom. Med. 2003;65:119-128.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Lifetime Risk for Developing Congestive Heart Failure: The Framingham Heart Study
Lloyd-Jones et al.
Circulation 2002;106:3068-3072.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

One-year mortality among unselected outpatients with heart failure
Muntwyler et al.
Eur Heart J 2002;23:1861-1866.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Long-Term Trends in the Incidence of and Survival with Heart Failure
Levy et al.
NEJM 2002;347:1397-1402.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Heart Failure -- An Epidemic of Uncertain Proportions
Redfield
NEJM 2002;347:1442-1444.
FULL TEXT  

Secular changes in prevalence of cardiovascular diseases in elderly Finns
Kattainen et al.
Scand J Public Health 2002;30:274-280.
ABSTRACT  

Prognosis and Determinants of Survival in Patients Newly Hospitalized for Heart Failure: A Population-Based Study
Jong et al.
Arch Intern Med 2002;162:1689-1694.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

C-reactive protein as a predictor of improvement and readmission in heart failure
Alonso-Martinez et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2002;4:331-336.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Congestive Heart Failure in Renal Transplant Recipients: Risk Factors, Outcomes, and Relationship with Ischemic Heart Disease
Rigatto et al.
J. Am. Soc. Nephrol. 2002;13:1084-1090.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Effect of time since onset of risk factors on the occurrence of ischemic stroke
Whisnant et al.
Neurology 2002;58:787-794.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Confirmation of a heart failure epidemic: findings from the Resource Utilization Among Congestive Heart Failure (REACH) study
McCullough et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2002;39:60-69.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Hospitalization for congestive heart failure: is it still a cardiology business?
Grigioni et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2002;4:99-104.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Noninvasive single-beat determination of left ventricular end-systolic elastance in humans
Chen et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2001;38:2028-2034.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Failing ageing hearts
Petrie et al.
Eur Heart J 2001;22:1978-1990.
 

Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of chronic heart failure
Task Force for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Chro et al.
Eur Heart J 2001;22:1527-1560.
 

The prognosis of heart failure: the view from the real world
Cowie
Eur Heart J 2001;22:1247-1248.
ABSTRACT  

More 'malignant' than cancer? Five-year survival following a first admission for heart failure
Stewart et al.
Eur J Heart Fail 2001;3:315-322.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

A Reevaluation of the Duration of Survival after the Onset of Dementia
Wolfson et al.
NEJM 2001;344:1111-1116.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Keratinocyte growth factor attenuates hydrostatic pulmonary edema in an isolated, perfused rat lung model
Welsh et al.
Am. J. Physiol. Heart Circ. Physiol. 2001;280:H1311-H1317.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Is the prognosis of heart failure improving?
Khand et al.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2000;36:2284-2286.
FULL TEXT  

Progress in Heart Failure Management? : Lessons from the Real World
Konstam
Circulation 2000;102:1076-1078.
FULL TEXT  

Evidence of Improving Prognosis in Heart Failure : Trends in Case Fatality in 66 547 Patients Hospitalized Between 1986 and 1995
MacIntyre et al.
Circulation 2000;102:1126-1131.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Prognostic value of the presence and development of atrial fibrillation in patients with advanced chronic heart failure
Crijns et al.
Eur Heart J 2000;21:1238-1245.
ABSTRACT  

Effects of Continuous Positive Airway Pressure on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Heart Failure Patients With and Without Cheyne-Stokes Respiration
Sin et al.
Circulation 2000;102:61-66.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

Effects of Controlled-Release Metoprolol on Total Mortality, Hospitalizations, and Well-being in Patients With Heart Failure: The Metoprolol CR/XL Randomized Intervention Trial in Congestive Heart Failure (MERIT-HF)
Hjalmarson et al.
JAMA 2000;283:1295-1302.
ABSTRACT | FULL TEXT  

A 75-Year-Old Man With Congestive Heart Failure
Guyatt
JAMA 1999;281:2321-2328.
FULL TEXT  

Have Advances in Management Affected CHF Survival?
Journal Watch Cardiology 1999;1999:8-8.
FULL TEXT  

Assessing the Population Burden From Heart Failure: Need for Sentinel Population-Based Surveillance Systems
Goldberg and Konstam
Arch Intern Med 1999;159:15-17.
FULL TEXT  





HOME | CURRENT ISSUE | PAST ISSUES | TOPIC COLLECTIONS | CME | SUBMIT | SUBSCRIBE | HELP
CONDITIONS OF USE | PRIVACY POLICY | CONTACT US | SITE MAP
 
© 1999 American Medical Association. All Rights Reserved.